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Welcome to "Ask the White House" -- an online interactive forum where you can submit questions to Administration officials and friends of the White House. Visit the "Ask the White House" archives to read other discussions with White House officials.
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September 24, 2004
Max Mayfield
Thank you for joining us today. All of the forecasters here at NOAA's
National Hurricane Center in Miami are busy preparing for what could be an
unprecedented fourth hurricane to impact Florida in a single season, but
we're well aware that people have concerns and we'll do our best to answer
your questions.
Jason, from Swartz Creek, MI
writes: Max Mayfield You are right. This has been an active year in that there have been several storms that have made landfall in the U.S. Other years have been more active, but they didn't have the impact to the U.S. that we have seen this year. A large high pressure system over the central Atlantic Ocean has helped to send these storms toward the U.S.
For your information, according to historical documents, 1933 is recorded as being the most active of any Atlantic basin season on record (reliable or otherwise) with 21 tropical storms and hurricanes. 1886 is recorded as the most active hurricane season for the continental USA with 7 landfalling hurricanes.
Riki, from Washington, DC
writes: It was interesting how Ivan reformed and looped back down into the gulf. I haven't heard of that happening before............has this ocurred before? Thanks Riki :o) Max Mayfield Ivan's reforming was a rare occurrence. The low level circulation held intact and looped around and was caught up in an upper level short-wave that reformed the circulation and eventually took it onto the Texas and Louisiana coasts.
Max
Shawn, from Naples writes: Max Mayfield As of the latest model run, it does not appear that the center of Jeanne will hit Naples. Naples could, however, feel the fringe effects of Jeanne tropical storm force winds and rain.
Max Ashley, from Cinncinati, Ohio
writes: Max Mayfield It normally takes the Caribbean islands several weeks to conduct and formally report their damage assessments. However damage has been widely reported in the popular press. Here in the U.S., the damage assessments would be done by FEMA. NOAA, through its National Weather Service operation, would do its own assessment of where the storm went as compared to were we predicted it would go and use that information to help improve future forecasts.
Max Bill, from Madison, WI writes: Max Mayfield NOAA’s Coastal Services Center in Charleston, S.C., has an excellent web site at http://hurricane.csc.noaa.gov/hurricanes/. The site allows you to locate all or any storm affecting a city or zip code for the period 1851 to the present.
Max
Peggy, from North Carolina
writes: Max Mayfield It’s a little too early to define the category strength of Hurricane Jeanne by the time it reaches North Carolina. In fact, the winds may be downgraded to tropical storm strength by that time. Typically rain and flash flooding in mountainous terrain are the biggest contributors to damage and loss of life.
Max
Sam, from Philadelphia writes: Max Mayfield I’m sure many residents of Florida feel that they have had more than their fair share of tropical cyclones this year. NOAA’s forecast for the 2004 hurricane Season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, calls 12 to 15 tropical storms, with six to eight becoming hurricanes, and two to four of these becoming major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30; the peak of the season is mid-August through mid-October. Atmospheric patterns and tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are now in place to favor significant hurricane activity this season. The main factor influencing the Atlantic hurricane season again this year is the active Atlantic multi-decadal signal, which includes a continuation of warmer-than-normal ocean temperatures across the tropical Atlantic. Part of reason is location. Florida sits in a path that many Atlantic storms take. According to records that go back to 1871, 8 of the top 20 communities most often hit by hurricanes are in Florida. These communities risk being hit by storms as often as every 3 years if the conditions are right and unfortunately they seem to be this year.
Max
Will, from New York
writes: Max Mayfield Our focus is directed toward the ability to accurately forecast the track and, eventually, the intensity of these tropical cyclones. Through better research and forecasting, NOAA, working with its other federal partners, state governments and the emergency management community, works to ensure the millions of Americans living in coastal areas have the information they need to make wise decisions. Preparedness is the key – planning in advance by every city, business, family and individual, and then putting those plans into action if a hurricane threatens landfall near you.
Max
Tim, from New Orleans writes: Max Mayfield At this point it appears that neither Karl nor Lisa should post a threat for any coastal communities in the United States. However, do keep checking your local media or the NOAA homepage at http://www.noaa.gov for regular updates. Max
Max Mayfield
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