Our democracy and economy demand that public and private leaders have
unbiased, relevant, accurate, and timely information on which to base their
decisions. Data on real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Consumer Price Index
(CPI), and the trade deficit, for example, are critical inputs to monetary,
fiscal, trade, and regulatory policy. They also have a major impact on
government spending, budget projections, and the allocation of Federal funds.
Economic data, such as measures of price change, have as well a significant
influence on interest rates and cost-of-living adjustments that affect every
American who runs a business, saves for retirement, or mortgages a home. Taken
together, statistics produced by the Federal Government on demographic,
economic, and social conditions and trends are essential to inform decisions
that are made by virtually every organization and household.
The U.S. Federal statistical system comprises some 70 agencies that
collect, analyze, and disseminate information for use by governments,
businesses, researchers, and the public. Approximately half of the funding for
the statistical system provides resources for ten agencies that have
statistical activities as their principal mission. (Please see Table 11-1.) The
remaining funding is spread among some sixty agencies that carry out
statistical activities in conjunction with other missions such as providing
services or enforcing regulations.
Under the aegis of the congressionally-mandated Interagency Council on
Statistical Policy (ICSP), the principal statistical agencies are extending
their collaborative endeavors in order to improve the overall performance and
efficiency of the Federal statistical system. In May 1997, the ICSP unveiled
FedStats (www.fedstats.gov), a "one-stop shopping" Internet site for Federal
statistics that permits easy access via an initial point of entry to the wide
array of information available to the public from the 70 agencies. FedStats has
been enthusiastically received both by Web watchers and by more than half a
million users of Federal statistical information.
In July 1997, the Federal Interagency Forum on Child and Family
Statistics issued America's Children: Key National Indicators of
Well-Being, presenting in a single document 25 critical indicators
concerning children's behavior, social environment, economic security,
education, and health. The report represents a successful collaboration among
the various Federal agencies that report regularly on aspects of children's
lives. Additional new collaborative initiatives are addressing needs to improve
integration of employer-provided health benefits and other nonwage compensation
data and to identify statistical data requirements stemming from recent changes
in welfare and health policy.
A singularly important initiative to improve the quality and efficiency
of Federal statistical programs is a legislative proposal that would allow the
sharing of confidential data among statistical agencies under strict
safeguards. Passage of this legislation continues to be a top priority of the
Administration.
Despite these accomplishments, rapid changes in our economy and society,
and funding levels that do not enable statistical agencies to keep pace with
them, increasingly threaten the relevance and accuracy of our Nation's key
statistics. The growing inability of our statistical system to mirror
accurately our economy and society will, in turn, undermine core government
activities, such as the accurate allocation of scarce Federal funds.
Fortunately, the most serious shortcomings of our statistical infrastructure
could be substantially mitigated by four proposals set forth in the
Administration's budget. In particular, these initiatives would:
- provide a comprehensive, integrated, and internationally comparable
statistical base for analysis as well as reliable and timely information on the
impact on the U.S. economy of increasingly integrated world markets (please see
highlights for the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of the Census);
- modernize our basic industrial classification to reflect the
structural and technological make-up of our economy and facilitate economic
analyses that cover the entire North American Free Trade Agreement area (please
see the NAICS discussions in the highlights for the Bureau of Labor Statistics
and the Bureau of the Census);
- improve the timeliness and accuracy of the CPI to permit more rapid
revision in future years, to produce alternative measures of the change in the
cost of living, to reflect more accurately changes in the quality of goods and
services, and to allow more timely introduction of new goods into the CPI
(please see the CPI discussion in the highlights for the Bureau of Labor
Statistics); and
- provide new statutory authority for the limited sharing of
confidential statistical information among specific Federal statistical
agencies solely for statistical purposes. The proposed changes would permit
these statistical agencies to manage information in many important respects as
if they were part of a single agency, thereby increasing the accuracy of
statistical estimates and the efficiency of Federal data collection.
The following highlights elaborate on the Administration's proposals to
strengthen the programs of the principal Federal statistical agencies.
HIGHLIGHTS OF 1999 PROGRAM CHANGES FOR PRINCIPAL
STATISTICAL AGENCIES
Bureau of Economic Analysis: Funding is requested to update and
improve the data used in estimating GDP and national income and to continue
moving forward on other key initiatives from BEA's Mid-Decade Strategic Plan
for improving its economic accounts. Initiatives would produce: (1) new and
improved measures of output and prices, by extending BEA's work on quality
adjustments; (2) better measures of investment, savings, and wealth, by
developing a comprehensive accounting for software; and (3) improved measures
of international transactions, by expanding the coverage of rapidly growing
international services and financial instruments.
Bureau of Justice Statistics: Funding is requested to: (1)
support local law enforcement agencies' increased participation in the
collection and reporting of hate crime statistics; (2) restore funding for the
annual collection and reporting of detailed data from State and local
governments on employment and expenditures for criminal justice purposes; and
(3) provide for continued collection of police use-of-force statistics from
local law enforcement agencies.
Bureau of Labor Statistics: Funding is requested to: (1) continue
revision of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) by releasing the revised housing
sample with data for January 1999, and completing the revision in 2000; (2)
initiate improvements in the CPI revision process that would make it possible
to revise the CPI more rapidly, allow BLS to produce alternative measures of
change in the cost of living, improve the measurement of changes in the quality
of goods and services, and provide a basis to bring new goods into the CPI on a
more timely basis; (3) replace the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)
with the new North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) by
continuing the recoding of each workplace in BLS' establishment list using the
new classification; and (4) develop monthly national data on the number of job
vacancies and labor turnover.
Bureau of the Census: Funding is requested to: (1) undertake
final preparatory activities for the conduct of the 2000 Census including
developing a comprehensive address list, establishing the required field
infrastructure, printing questionnaires, and developing and manufacturing
hardware and software to produce a more accurate and less costly decennial
count; (2) review, edit, and disseminate the data collected for the 1997
Economic Censuses and the Census of Governments; (3) further the development
and testing of the Continuous Measurement program, which would provide
nationally comparable and consistent community-based data on an annual basis
and permit elimination of the decennial census long form in 2010; (4) implement
NAICS in current economic surveys to complement the work already undertaken for
the 1997 quinquennial economic censuses; (5) improve the quality of
construction, government, and service sector data used in Gross Domestic
Product estimates; (6) perform research and support activities related to
improving the measurement of income and poverty; (7) standardize the reporting
of international trade data; and (8) begin transition to decentralized funding
of the decennial revision of all the monthly, quarterly, and annual household
survey samples to conform to the anticipated redistribution of population that
will be measured in the 2000 Census.
Bureau of Transportation Statistics: Funding is requested to: (1)
maintain the core statistical programs of BTS, including the American Travel
Survey, the Commodity Flow Survey, and the Transborder Surface Freight program;
(2) produce and enhance data compilations and analyses concerning patterns of
passenger travel and goods movements that are reported in the congressionally
mandated Transportation Statistics Annual Report and companion publications;
(3) extend efforts to provide technical assistance to State and local
authorities; (4) initiate data collections and analyses related to
international transportation; and (5) lead the Department of Transportation's
development of more relevant and timely transportation system performance
indicators.
Economic Research Service: Funding is requested to: (1) prepare
estimates of the benefits of food safety, (2) support the analytical needs of
small farmers, niche marketers, and others adversely affected by an
industrializing agricultural sector; and (3) assess the effects of electric
utility deregulation on rural communities. The decrease in ERS total funding
reflects the proposal to reverse the 1998 transfer of funds ($18.5 million) for
the evaluation of domestic food assistance programs from the Food and Nutrition
Service.
Energy Information Administration: Funding is requested to:
(1) collect and analyze energy efficiency and renewable energy data; (2)
perform energy end-use consumption surveys; (3) compile integrated energy
end-use data; (4) model mid-term energy demand; (5) analyze greenhouse gas
data; and (6) analyze carbon management policies and industry voluntary
activities in support of the Climate Change Technology Initiative.
National Agricultural Statistics Service: Funding is requested
to: (1) develop the statistical infrastructure needed to expand the
agricultural pesticide use surveys to the horticulture/ greenhouse industries;
(2) lay the groundwork for the year 2000 decennial Agricultural Economics and
Land Ownership Survey, which provides the only comprehensive data on
agricultural land ownership, financing, and inputs by farm operators and
landlords for each State; and (3) perform the first extensive census of
aquaculture to provide consistent national and State level detailed data about
aquacultural production. The decrease in NASS total funding reflects a
reduction in funding for the Census of Agriculture due to the cyclical nature
of the program.
National Center for Education Statistics: Funding is requested
to: (1) follow up on the 1992 National Adult Literacy Survey and enhance fast
response post-secondary and vocational education surveys to collect performance
indicator data; (2) support periodic data collections for the National
Postsecondary Student Aid Survey, the Schools and Staffing Survey, and the
National Household Education Survey; (3) enhance the coverage and quality for
the kindergarten cohort and the coverage of the year 2000 birth cohort in the
Early Childhood Longitudinal Survey; (4) institute the State and school
district option for the 1999 Third International Mathematics and Science Study
Replication at grade 8; (5) produce a crosscutting special report and analysis
of education in the year 2000; (6) develop a special financial accounting
handbook for school system use; (7) perform special fast response statistical
surveys on critical educational issues; and (8) fund initiatives in the
National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) that will enrich coverage of
private schools and minority students, field test new items for the NAEP
assessments, support implementation of the new NAEP Annual Assessment Schedule,
increase support to selected schools to foster NAEP participation, develop the
new NAEP market basket 2000 prototype, and implement the NAEP redesign
including new technical requirements.
National Center for Health Statistics: Funding is requested to
maintain at 1998 levels support for NCHS' core data systems, including the
Vital Statistics System, Personal Interview Surveys, Health Care Surveys, and
the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. NCHS is currently
reexamining the content, sample size, and periodicity of a number of its data
systems.